David Spiegelhalter – The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck

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From ‘the UK’s greatest living statistician’ (Daily Telegraph), a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertainty

We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don’t know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?

The Art of Uncertainty shows us how the principles of probability can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts… explaining along the way why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.

Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know. 

Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter is Emeritus Professor of Statistics at Cambridge University. Together with his writing and media appearances, he works to improve the way in which risk and statistical evidence are taught and discussed in society.  

Photo: Amanda Benson

LFF Priority Booking Opens: Platinum/Founder/Millennium/Gold – 4th February | Silver/Bronze: 11th February | General Booking Opens: 18th February